Evening all,
France Ligue 2
Over in the French League 2 tomorrow evening at 7 p.m. Auxerre host Nancy. Nancy have been absolutely dire on their travels so far this season. It’s still relatively early over there In the season but Nancy’s away record reads as played 7, drawn 2 and lost 5. They have also failed to score in 4 out of their 7 away matches.
Auxerre on the other hand, whilst not being fantastic at home have won 4 out of 7. Not shabby. They have kept 3 clean sheets in those seven matches, and have only failed to find the net on one occasion, that being in their first home game of the season. Since then they have netted 14 times in their last six home games. This is above the bottom of the table clash but there is a significant difference between their respective home and away records.
Taking the above into account the home win has landed in 9 out of 14 this season. That means it is a 64% probability for a home win based on the current season which translates into Implied odds of 1.5. Considering that Auxerre are currently priced at 2.59 with Marathon and 2.5 with Betway and BetVictor respectively, I’m going to have a play on this.
Auxerre to win @ 2.59 with Marathon Bet 1 point
Turkey Super Lig
Next, we take a look at the game between Osmanlispor and Genclerbirligi In the Turkish Super Lig. We are expecting goals in this fixture and the 2.5 line is currently at 1.75 with 365. Again this is another bottom of the table clash with the 16th place team hosting the bottom team. Neither side can defend effectively, Genclerbirligi have not kept a clean sheet all season away in the six games that they played and Osmanlispor average 1.67 goals per game at home. Osmanlispor also conceding at a rate of 1.67 goals per game at home and Genclerbirligi are averaging better than a goal per game away from home this season, scoring in 5/6 away. I have over 2.5 goals at 83.5% which is implied odds of Just shy of 1.2. Considering that the current offers line is 1.75 it’s definitely worth a look. I’m going to push this one a little bit and add both teams to score into the mix so I will be playing both teams to score and overs with 365
Osmanlispor BTTS and overs @ 2.1
Qatar 3:10 p.m.
Al Sadd host Al Duhail this is a first versus second match up and Al Duhail are a bit of a bogey team for Al Sadd. They have won 10 of 13 of the head to heads and are top of the league. They boast a far superior goal difference and the bet I was looking for here was both teams to score and overs, however, I can’t find a market with any book at the moment. I’m going to have a small play on Al Duhail to win and both teams to score at 3.1.
Al Duhail win and BTTS @ 3.1 with SkyBet 0.5pt
Points Staked 2.5
(Pic is Mont St Michel in Normandy, for those interested)