Afternoon All
Clean sweep for the blog denied with almost the last kick of the game yesterday evening in Granada. So a refund on that one and two very nice priced winners back for us.
Thursday’s Football Picks
The first pick of the day is over in the Portuguese Segunda Liga at pm. Academico Viseu host Penafiel in a 1st versus 6th matchup. Last season this ended 1-2 and the reverse fixture was 2-1. So far this season Penafiel have been shipping goals away from home leaking 2 a game on average. Hard pressed to see them keeping a clean sheet against the league leaders here. AV are scoring 1.75 a game on average at home, but recently threw in two 0-0’s at home against lowly opposition. I did not see those games but suspect the away sides were set up very defensively and playing for the point. Penafiel have scored in 6/8 of their away matches and conceded 2 or more goals in 5 of those 8. I am going to disregard the two recent 0-0s at home for AV as I have the over 2.5 match goal close to 1.44s and it’s currently generally available at 2.1.
Academico Viseu over 2.5 match goals @ 2.1 1 point
Sticking with Portugal for the second play of the day. Sporting CP ran out 6-0 winners in the league cup last night. There will be a good feeling around the club and Sporting B are in action today. They have a good home record and face Guimares B who are terrible away and have lost 8/9 this season. Should be a routine win for Sporting unless there are significant team changes for this one.
Sporting B to win @ 2.05 1 point
Following this, we travel to Italy in the evening to look at Salernitana vs Foggia, and Novara vs Perugia. No write up for these apart from the fact that I like BTTS in both. Again I have the prices for BTTS shorter than what they currently are.
Double Salernitana and Novara BTTS @ 2.76 1 point