Morning All,
So we are well and truly in the run-up to Christmas and fixtures are a bit thin on the ground. I have picked out a couple of games for the over 2.5 match goal market as follows;
Israel Liga Bet North
The first is a 12 p.m. kick-off in the Israel Liga bet North. Hapoel Bnei Arara Ara host Hapoel Ramot Menashe. Both sides are struggling for form and sit in the lower half of the table after 12 matches. Both sides leak goals but also know how to score at the other end of the pitch. The average match goals total for the season is a shade over 4.
They met twice last season with Ara winning on both occasions, 4-0 and 1-4. In the matches of the sides respectively, home and away this season overs has landed on 11 of 13 occasions. The overs price is currently kicking around the 1.7 mark and I have them a lot shorter than that, closer to 1.2s.
Scotland League One
For the second match, we head up north to Bonnie Scotland. Here we see Stranraer, in third host Albion who currently sit 8th. This could be a routine home for Stranraer currently priced around 1.83, head-to-head also supports this with Stranraer winning eleven out of 16 matches. However, the fact that Albion has only lost two away this season is putting me off this play.
I’m looking at the goals market then again and specifically over 2.5 match goals. The last 5 head to head has seen scores of 0-4, 3-0, 3-0, 3-2 & 3-2. Yes, Stranraer have kept the visitors out in 4 out of 7 matches this season, but free-scoring Albion have netted in every away match and are actually outscoring Stranraer in the League this season. Over 2.5 match goals has landed in 11 out of 14 fixtures this season between the two sides looking at their home and away records. The current price for over 2.5 match goals 1.5, and whilst that is short I think it should be shorter again. The alternative goal line on 365 is slightly better priced.
So I’m going to play a double on these two games, The straight over 2.5 match goal market on the Israel game, and the over 2.5 alternative goal line market in the Scotland game A double on these with bet365 at the moment gives us odds of 2.59.
1 point double at 2.59
Also below is a shortlist of the games I will be looking at for late goals in each half today. The percentage denotes the goals scored in the last 15′ of each half. Just a starting point, do your research and take the game situation into account.
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