Afternoon All
Welcome to the third monthly P&L report. Technically May is not over until today, but there are no blog picks and if we do have any inplays this evening the final figures will be updated accordingly.
Overall
After a partial betting month in April (and a losing one) just the 38 picks, we had what I would describe as a “more complete” month. Also as stated in the post at the start of the month, the Inplays returned to Twitter. We placed 65 pre-game picks on the blog, and 7 inplays on Twitter. So a daily average of 2.3 picks per day up from the low 1.2/day in April. Most long-term followers will know that I do not throw out 10-20 picks a day and that suits me at the moment.
We ended the month in profit overall, on both the pre-game blog picks and the Inplays. Our total profit at stakes and odds advised was 13.9pts, for an ROI of 21.98%.
The split of this was +10.2 pts on the pre-game (17.96%) and +3.7pts on Inplays (56.92% ROI) on Inplays. Inplays for me historically, have always been more efficient than the pre-game picks on the blog.
Of the 65 pre-game picks, there were 20 winners at a strike rate of 30.76%, at average odds of 4.3. This is the third month in a row where the average odds of blog picks have increased, from 3.23 in March and 3.82 in April.
For the Inplays, 7 picks ended with 2 winners, 1 push, and 4 losses. The average odds of these when advised was 4.6 however as they are all on rising markets plenty of followers had the winners at far higher odds so would have seen higher returns.
Markets
In terms of the type of winners, all the Inplays as expected were on the second-half goal line. For the pregames, there was a variety of winning markets.
Nine, were win-line singles, doubles or trebles. This follows a similar pattern to the previous months where most of the winners were win line picks. Some of these were excellent value singles for the win pre-game at odds of over 3.0. Six of the winners were Trebles on the overs line.
The remaining 5 winners were the most goals second half multiples, which always pay at decent odds (when they land).
In Summary
It was good to get back to winning ways, and very pleasing to be back on the Inplays, a profitable month for them and a solid 56% ROI back. Again plenty of combinations missed by just the one goal or the one match, but that’s just part of the game. Even though we had a winning month, disappointingly the last week was poor which reduced a lot of our profit as teams just did not deliver when expected to. Could have been a lot better, but then again could have been a lot worse!
As always good luck with whatever you are on, World Cup month ahead, and more info on that in a separate post and guide.
The link to May’s final position is here
Regards
Mark
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