Articles and Ramblings

Glossary of Terms

Been asked for this so here are the standard abbreviations I use;

NAP – best bet of the day, highest stake on this.

NB – Next Best bet of the day

AH – Asian Handicap

OVERS – Over 2.5 match goals

UNDERS – Under 2.5 match goals

BTTS – Both Teams To Score

DC – Double Chance e.g. to win or draw

DNB – Draw no bet

Double – 2 selections combined (2 team parlay)

Treble – 3 selections combined (3 team parlay)

FH – First Half

FGS – First Goalscorer

AGS – Anytime Goalscorer

CS – Clean sheet

Trixie – 3 doubles and a treble on three selections

February 2017

Evening All,

If any remember a couple of weeks ago I was asked by a follower what resources I used to research my football bets. Instead of passing on just what I know (there is only one of me after all), I quoted the tweet and asked you guys to contribute. And did you ever! Thanks for all the responses and there were some sites in there I had not heard of let alone visited. I have collated the responses into the below, please bear in mind it is a bit of a popularity contest but there are very good sites in there that I visit daily to research.

It shouldn’t need explaining but the resource column is the site or the app, the sites should be linked so you can click them to take you there direst and for the apps just look on the App Store or GooglePlay. The count is the number of followers that mentioned the resource.

Resource Count
Soccerway.com 12
Flashscores.com 7
Soccerstats.com 6
Whoscored.com 5
Windrawwin.com 4
ontheball App 4
Footcharts.co.uk 3
Forebet.com 3
Futbol24.com 3
club twitter feeds 2
soccervista.com 2
FotMob App 2
Simplesoccerstats.com 2
Statarea.com 2
Footballinform.com 1
club websites 1
Football-italia.net 1
Bbc.co.uk 1
Skysports.com 1
Thestatsdontlie.com 1
Over25tips.com 1
Fcstats.com 1
Stats24.com 1
Sofascore.com 1
Footballformlabs.com 1
Soccertstatstracker.com 1
Nababet.com 1
Bari91.com 1
Football-data.co.uk 1
Footybetter.co.uk 1
getthebet app 1
Betexplorer.com 1
Statto.com 1
Fussball.wettpoint.com 1
Betstudy.com 1
Football Predictions App 1

Take some time to look around the blog if you haven’t already as there is now lots of content on here. Also if you want my free eBook on finding Value Bets then all you have to do is subscribe to the blog free here

Hope the above brings some added value to your betting, and as always, stay lucky!

Best Wishes

Mark

 

 

April 2015

Is your tipster on your side?

Hi Guys

Been a while since I have written an article so I hope you find this post helpful. I have been betting for over 25 years and some of the rubbish I see on Twitter has given me the motivation to write this post. That statement begs a deeper question, as in, what is my motivation? Simply this, to help anyone trying to make a profit from sports betting, have a bit of fun along the way (always like banter) and quintessentially take the bookies pants down LOL

So what type of tipster are you following? There are only 2 main categories, free tipsters and subscription tipsters, but when you unwrap every single one you will find both good and bad apples in that cart.

Whether it, be school, Uni or work, we have all bumped into, and interacted with those people who you would not trust to have your back. Does your Tipster have your back or are they in it for themselves? What I do want to get through in this piece is how to spot those “bad apples” to make sure they don’t get into your cart in the first place!

Couple of important points to get out of the way, I have absolutely no problem with an affiliated (article in itself!) tipster, and these tipsters exist in both the free and subscription tipster market.

Subscription Tipsters charge a fee for you to access their tips. Fair enough, at first glance if they are good! I am sure many of them are but from what I have seen on Twitter most aren’t in that category. Please stay as far away as possible, and I cannot stress this enough, from any tipster shouting we WON £10k last month. What you win, is irrelevant, I could have staked £20k to win £10k bottom line is I am still down, by £10k in this example. What you win is so far removed from reality it ain’t even funny, all you are looking for is profitability.

If you are going to sign up to a subscription service then I believe the statements you want to be looking for are “Invest in me and I will deliver you a ROI of > xx% consistently, as my track record proves. If you do not make profit in any month we will refund you (or at least give you the next month free). Remember you are buying a service, and for that you expect it to deliver. Another point to be cautious of depends on your bank roll. “Yes we are £10k up in last 3 months for only £5 a month fee”. Sounds too good, why wouldn’t you? So you sign up for £5 but then discover they are staking £20 a tip (4 times your initial affordable monthly investment) and then to add insult to injury they are advising 8-10 tips a day. Not sustainable.

It’s not all doom and gloom, there are very good tipsters out there, more tomorrow 😀

November 2014

So What’s The Point?

Hi All

This is the first article based on the FAQs I get from followers on twitter through DM or via email to thetippingtimes. For some this may be sucking eggs, so please pass it over if you already understand the concept of a point; but here’s my take on it.

The most common question by far at the moment is how much is a “point/unit”, and what do you mean when you say, as an example, 2 points profit?

Ok, so I hope I can explode this tipping myth in terms that will be understandable by everyone!
How do you decide how much to bet? Do you place even stakes on all bets, or do you take the scattergun approach and think this is a banker and lump on, and conversely if you are a bit iffy about a pick you place far less on it? Let me tell you now, no “professional” sports trader lumps, they have a strict staking plan and they stick to it.
So back to the point. In it’s simplest terms a “point” is a unit of measure, which is equal to a certain amount you stake, it allows for a simple method to track whether you are up/down or break even. The actual value in monetary terms of the point varies from punter to punter, as different punters will be able to afford more or less depending on their bank roll (Disposable income! if it’s not disposable you should not be betting it)). What is important though is that you keep your point static for the period that you are tracking your profit/loss. You may up or lower your point after a while depending non your results but this should not be frequent.
Let’s look at 2 examples, Punter A and Punter B.
Punter A normally stakes £10 a bet (£10 is their point), whilst Punter B normally stakes £100 a bet (£100 is their point). Both are on a 10/1 (11.0) acca, and have placed their respective point on it A=£10, B=£100.
The bet lands, and Punter A walks away with £110 in the pocket and Punter B walks away with £1100. Even though there is a big difference in the return Punter B staked more in the first instance, however they are both equal in terms of return on investment. A has 11 times his/her original stake, and so does B, they have both made a 10 point profit, the only difference being that Punter B has more disposable income so his/her point is of a higher monetary value.

When you look at certain multiples e.g. Trixie, Patent, L15 etc these are comprised of more than 1 bet, so a 1 point trixie (4 bets) for punter A would be £10x4 = £40 outlay, and a half point trixie would be £5x4 = £20. Punter B has gone for a 2 point e/w on the fav in the 2.10 at Chepstow, as Punter B’s point is £100 that would be £200 (2 points) on the win and £200 (2 points) on the place so £400 total (4 points). If Punter A has a 10 point profit in the month that would be £100 profit and for punter B a 10 point profit is £1000. Regardless the ROI is still 10 points.

Varying your point stake can be a rewarding strategy if you have a solid staking plan backed up by research. However it can also be a quick way to lose money fast if you are varying your stakes as a result of how confident you are on the bet landing based on last weeks/months results of that team/horse or whatever sport you are backing.

Only you can decide what your point should be, and always gamble responsibly. Unless you are a pro gambler then this should, first and foremost, be fun and you should be able to walk away from a losing bet with the attitude of “it was only a point”. If you can’t then I would suggest that your point is too high, and it matters too much to you when the bet doesn’t land. Comparing your point value with the point value of others is irrelevant everyone’s financial circumstances will vary, just stake what you can afford. As an example, if you walk into a casino and to play the £10 table, and see at the other end of the room a £500 table, do you move to play that? You might, but it is likely that you wouldn’t play for long if you did.

I would advise against being tempted by some of the slips posted on Twitter to up your stake, just because you like the returns posted on the slip. Remember not all favs win and you don’t see the losing slips!
Yes we are all trying to beat the bookies but the most important thing is not to beat yourself in the first instance! Sports trading is not smoke and mirrors, but it is easy to lose a lot if you are not disciplined, just remember that the slips you see with big returns are generally one offs (unless you are looking at a high roller who drops £1k a point) and more than likely the random punter is losing in the long run. Never be tempted to stake more than you can afford to lose and for every team you add onto an acca you are reducing the true value of what the actual odds should be, and thereby giving more profit to those that should not be named.. “bookies”
Hope this helps in any way at all! As always, if you have any questions regarding this article or anything else then please let me know by either replying here, dropping me a DM on Twitter or sending an email.
GL All!

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