Afternoon All
Cracking little double back yesterday for the blog. Also had a small card, one game was PP but both the other picks landed so a decent day all in all. Onto today then and although still not great there are some really good fixtures today. One, in particular, has a fantastic price at the time of writing!
Wednesday’s Football Picks
France League 1
Today’s first pick is over in Ligue 1 in France at 7:50 p.m. this evening. Angers host Dijon and both sides are missing a key defender with one from each side on a red card.
In the two head-to-head last season the scores ended up 3-2 and 3-1. If we look at Angers at home and Dijon away this season, 69% of their matches so far have had over 2.5 match goals. Angers at home in the league they are hardly the most free-scoring of teams but they do concede frequently. They have not won a home League game to date this season. They have also considered in every home fixture they have played. Dijon on the other hand away from home this season have scored in every away game bar 2. They like Angers, also struggle defensively and have conceded in every away game in the League this season.
Based on the above it’s difficult to see either of these sides keeping a clean sheet so both teams to score definitely has appeal here and is currently priced at 1.8 on 365, I have it a bit shorter than that on 1.6 so there’s a little bit of value here. However, I’m going to take the overs line. I have it much shorter than what it is, closer to 1.45 and the current price of 365 is 2.1. A couple of books have they still available at 2.15 but I am going to use the 365 price as most may not have an account with the books that are offering that price.
Angers vs Dijon over 2.5 match goals @ 2.1 2points
Spain Segunda
Granada host Sporting Gijon in a fixture that sees a match up between 2 demoted sides from La Liga last season. After a slow start, Granada have been performing well at home winning their last 6/7, and 5 of those by 2 goals or more. The line is pretty much where I have it for the home win at 1.85s, and a little bit of value in the -0.5 AH @ 1.925. I am going to push this one a bit in the hope that Granada continue their home momentum.
Granada -1 AH @ 2.675 1 point
France National
No write up for this one (running out of time), apart from the fact that this line should be down around 1.3s based on the current season.
Avranches vs Rodez BTTS @ 2.0 1 point
As always, good luck if you play any.
Cheers
Mark